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AI is Nowhere Near its Zenith, but Fears Persist

AI is Nowhere Near its Zenith, but Fears Persist

By Bolaji Ojo

What’s at stake: Artificial Intelligence has raised semiconductors to a height unimagined only a few years ago, but as chipmakers rocket to the top of the global equity markets, the burning questions come up: How long will this stratospheric rise continue; what happens when demand for AI chips stalls and what should semiconductor suppliers do to stay relevant in the new economy?

Nvidia Corp.’s drastic rise to become the world’s most valuable publicly traded company is emblematic of a seismic shift: AI chips have ascended to the position of “the new oil,” powering a sprawling ecosystem of generative AI, big data analytics, and automation. But the questions gnawing at everyone aren’t being answered now because most people don’t yet want to examine how long this AI-fueled semiconductor surge will last, the extent of changes taking place in the market’s trajectory, and what could trigger a change in direction.

Many semiconductor industry executives appear ready to weigh in on how their companies are reshaping the dynamics of the global economy, though. At Nvidia’s latest developers’ conference, Jensen Huang, founder and CEO, addressed thousands of developers and industry leaders on the gravity of what his company helped catalyze.

“We are witnessing the dawn of a new industrial revolution,” Huang said. “an AI-driven era that’s being built on silicon.” That’s difficult to dispute. Today, Nvidia is not just a tech giant. It is the giant everyone must beat to stand out. With a market capitalization that has soared past Apple’s and Microsoft’s, the firm now stands as the world’s most valuable public company, its fortunes singularly tied to the voracious appetite for artificial intelligence chips.

Yet, the questions about AI’s validity and future keep coming up. How long will the insatiable demand for AI chips last? Could we be overestimating AI’s transformative power, or, conversely, underestimating the deep dependence the global economy is developing on its silicon backbone?

Read More »AI is Nowhere Near its Zenith, but Fears Persist
Tesla – Not Technology – Failed Tesla

Tesla – Not Technology – Failed Tesla

The idea of an autonomous, driverless future has been a core part of Tesla’s mystique, and its business plan. The lesson from the recent verdict against Tesla is not about the limits of driver-assistance technology, but about the hazards of stretching truth in pursuit of hype.

Memo to TSMC: Do Not Change the Recipe (Much)

Memo to TSMC: Do Not Change the Recipe (Much)

TSMC’s fab strategy rejects the gambler’s approach. By expanding capacity only for firm, long-term customer commitments, it ensures that its vast, capital-hungry plants stay full and profitable. Notwithstanding geopolitical pressures, this is not the time to change this recipe.

Edge AI Hangs on Power: Can Chipmakers Meet Up?

Edge AI Hangs on Power: Can Chipmakers Meet Up?

By Bolaji Ojo

What’s at stake: The stakes for power semiconductor makers in the Edge AI market are immense, encompassing billions of dollars in potential revenue, leadership in technological innovation, and a pivotal role in shaping the future of intelligent, energy-efficient devices. Those who can deliver the most advanced, dependable, and sustainable solutions stand to define the next era of electronics.

Artificial intelligence has rapidly evolved from a futuristic concept to a transformative force reshaping every sector of the global economy. But while much of the early excitement around AI centered on massive data centers and cloud-based supercomputers, the focus in recent years has shifted toward the “edge,” the network’s frontier, where data is generated and decisions must be made instantly.

Edge AI, which refers to the deployment of AI models on local devices rather than in distant clouds, is favored to drive everything from smart cameras and autonomous vehicles to industrial robots and wearable health monitors. As the intelligence of these devices grows, however, so too does the complexity of their power requirements. The race is on among semiconductor manufacturers, device makers, and system integrators to deliver energy-efficient, high-performance solutions that will define the next era of intelligent technology.

Read More »Edge AI Hangs on Power: Can Chipmakers Meet Up?
Nvidia Set to Step Into China’s Tech-Transfer Trap

Nvidia Set to Step Into China’s Tech-Transfer Trap

By Bolaji Ojo

To Nvidia Corp. CEO Jensen Huang, all his company needs to wallop Chinese AI competitors and remain dominant in the communist nation is for America to remove restrictions on the shipment of advanced technologies to China.

He is wrong. Current American sales policy is not the biggest obstacle to the growth of Nvidia’s market share in China. Although Washington has slapped repeated restrictions on the export of advanced technologies to many competing nations, including China, the mere lifting of these sanctions will only exacerbate the challenges facing foreign tech companies in the country.

A deep dive into the dynamics of global commerce, military and geopolitical rivalries among the world’s leading national players will reveal a more complex portrait than can be explained by the simple narratives emerging from the current focus by analysts, industry executives and observers on export restrictions, tariffs and the imposition of stringent rules and regulations.

Read More »Nvidia Set to Step Into China’s Tech-Transfer Trap
Have We Really Seen the End of MIPS?

Have We Really Seen the End of MIPS?

By Bolaji Ojo

The latest twist in the storied Journey of MIPS has just begun.

GlobalFoundries wants to buy MIPS and run it as an independent enterprise within its business. Doesn’t that sound like a storyline we’ve heard about MIPS before? In fact, the proposed structure of the deal has soothsayers predicting MIPS could return within the next 5 years to the market as a wholly independent enterprise, having been spun off by its latest buyer.

Of course, this may not happen. GlobalFoundries may make the union work so brilliantly that MIPS becomes very tightly enmeshed in the contract chipmaker’s DNA, giving the IP vendor a home finally. On the other hand, the nature of MIPS’ business combined with the interest of outside parties and current customers in having unfettered access to its IP may one day spur GlobalFoundries into setting the unit free again.

Read More »Have We Really Seen the End of MIPS?
GlobalFoundries Deepens the Foundry-IP Conundrum with MIPS Deal

GlobalFoundries Deepens the Foundry-IP Conundrum with MIPS Deal

By Peter Clarke

What’s at stake: GlobalFoundries has elevated its status as a major foundry by agreeing to acquire MIPS, buying out its investors. However, the move also complicates the foundry’s business model at a time when RISC-V licensing is struggling in an Arm- and AI-dominated market.

GlobalFoundries Inc. has agreed to buy San Jose, Calif.-based semiconductor IP vendor MIPS Tech LLC and a first reaction might be: “Why?”

The reasoning behind the deal does not seem straightforward and it is hard to assess without knowing the agreed price. But it does signify that with a semiconductor industry driven to an inflection point by AI, there is scope to re-evaluate business models, values, and opportunities.

That said, the deal has not come completely out of left field. MIPS has been aligned with GlobalFoundries for some time. GlobalFoundries has adopted and used MIPS’ processor cores’ manufacturing processes in its business, including in the industrial and automotive markets.

But is the agreed acquisition, which is due to close in the current half of the year, subject to customary cond[itions, a sign of broken business models or distress at one or both parties?

Read More »GlobalFoundries Deepens the Foundry-IP Conundrum with MIPS Deal
Is Cook Past his Prime as Apple CEO?

Is Cook Past his Prime as Apple CEO?

By Bolaji Ojo

What’s at stake: After 14 years as CEO at Apple Inc., during which he drove its market value sky high, Tim Cook at 64 years old, is closer than ever to the handing over of one of the most coveted executive roles in the tech industry. Apple must assess the skills and experience of not just Cook but also those of its other senior executives to make sure they are prepared to meet changing market requirements and corporate objectives. Can Cook vouch for himself in this disruptive AI environment?


Two seemingly unconnected but equally seminal events happened to Apple Inc. this week. On Wednesday, the company announced Sabih Khan as a replacement for Jeff Williams, who will retire this month as chief operating officer, but will stay at Apple for several more months before finally retiring.

Secondly, artificial intelligence processor and software market leader Nvidia Corp. became the first company to cross the $4 trillion market value threshold, beating Apple, which had raced ahead of other publicly traded companies to the $1 trillion and $3 trillion capitalization marks. Nvidia’s market value rose to $3.97 trillion while Apple ended at $3.13 trillion.

These two events may appear unconnected, but a closer look indicates Apple is a common thread. The company remains a star in the technology universe, but – compared with Nvidia – it is slowly fading and burning out of gas. In galactic terms, is Apple, once the dominant star of the technology galaxy, now turning into a satellite orbiting the Nvidia supernova?

Read More »Is Cook Past his Prime as Apple CEO?