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Out of Intel, America's Dream Foundry: Here's How

Out of Intel, America’s Dream Foundry: Here’s How

By Bolaji Ojo

The United States wants a semiconductor foundry that can rival Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC), the world’s No. 1 contract chipmaker.

Many industry executives have lined up behind this objective, considering it a worthy pursuit during a time of rapidly evolving geo-political changes and supply chain turmoil. We agree.

However, after reviewing events of the last several years, the editors of the Ojo-Yoshida Report are convinced that America must go back to the drawing board – and to Intel Corp. – if the creation of America’s world-class foundry is to become more than a wishful thinking.

Read More »Out of Intel, America’s Dream Foundry: Here’s How
Intel’s Crisis Was Predictable. Its Future Isn’t a Mystery, Either

Intel’s Crisis Was Predictable. Its Future Isn’t a Mystery, Either

By Bolaji Ojo

Three years ago, Patrick Gelsinger rode in on a charger to save Intel Corp. He should have been on a fighter jet.

The battlefield and combatants had changed since Gelsinger left Intel 10 years earlier in 2009. Advanced Micro Devices Inc. and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC) were on his radar, but the main threat was coming from a different source. While Gelsinger was focusing on process technology leadership, Nvidia Corp. with its GPU-CPU combo had invaded and taken over Intel’s lucrative server business.

Gelsinger meant well, but in aiming to restore Intel’s old “glory” with new fabs and billions of dollars in fresh capital expenditure spending, he made a classic mistake that turnaround specialists know well to avoid: attempting the restoration of a storied enterprise is a recipe for further disaster.

Read More »Intel’s Crisis Was Predictable. Its Future Isn’t a Mystery, Either
Intel: The Beginning of the End?

Intel: The Beginning of the End?

By Peter Clarke

What’s at stake:
The break-up of the decades-long leader of the semiconductor industry would likely cause dramatic shifts in the semiconductor landscape. It would not only dent U.S. pride but could also undermine certain aspects of the American government’s technology policy and its CHIPS and Science Act.

The signs are mounting up that chip giant Intel Corp. is not long for this world – at least not in the form familiar to most industry observers.

Intel is now considering its strategic options, including splitting its product and chip manufacturing businesses, a potential sell-off, and whether certain factory projects might need to be delayed or cancelled, according to a Bloomberg report citing unnamed sources “familiar with the matter.”

Read More »Intel: The Beginning of the End?
Tenstorrent’s Not-So-Secret AI Plan: ‘Don’t Compete with Nvidia’

Tenstorrent’s Not-So-Secret AI Plan: ‘Don’t Compete with Nvidia’

By Junko Yoshida

What’s at stake:
Startup survival hinges on Rule One: Never run out of money. Whether Cerebra, Tenstorrent, Groq or SambaNova, every AI chip startup faces the underdog challenge of keeping up the money flow in a market where Nvidia calls most of the shots.

Tout the unique architecture of your AI processor/accelerator. Check. Trot out your all-star engineering team. Check. Chart your product roadmap and mark the milestones. Check. 

Now, explain a credible strategy for competing toe-to-toe against Goliath and the Philistines … er, Nvidia? Investors and developers want to know.

Read More »Tenstorrent’s Not-So-Secret AI Plan: ‘Don’t Compete with Nvidia’

TSMC’s ‘Invaluable’ Status Makes it a Target. Change, it Must

By Bolaji Ojo

What’s at stake

TSMC’s founders and the government of Taiwan didn’t plan on it becoming such a linchpin in electronic production but now that it has become the world’s No. 1 foundry, the role comes with responsibilities beyond the island’s geographic borders. Is the contract chipmaker willing and ready to shoulder the burdens that governments at home and abroad, customers and the entire semiconductor industry have placed on it?

In market capitalization, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (TSMC) is a distant second to customer Nvidia Corp., the world’s most valuable chipmaker.

Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang is on record for admitting his company – without the services provided by TSMC – would either not exist or be a completely different enterprise playing a much smaller role in the electronics value chain.

Not everyone in the electronics market would so bluntly state their reliance on the Hsinchu, Taiwan-based foundry. Apple Inc., the foundry’s biggest and perhaps most important customer accounting for about one-quarter of TSMC’s annual revenue, hardly talks about the supplier it relies upon for the majority of its semiconductor requirements.

The technology world may not admit this reality to themselves, but one company – TSMC – has become its most “invaluable” asset. TSMC is redefining how the industry operates and, in some ways, even its future. This is a fact the industry struggles with, hesitant to openly discuss what could turn into its biggest headache if a major disaster happens in Taiwan or if governments clash over the island’s future.

Read More »TSMC’s ‘Invaluable’ Status Makes it a Target. Change, it Must
CrowdStrike’s Update Downfall: Who Dropped the Ball?

CrowdStrike’s Update Downfall: Who Dropped the Ball?

By Junko Yoshida

Last Friday’s worldwide IT outage, traced to CrowdStrike, galvanized everyone from corporate board directors and their information security officers to IT managers, cyber security experts and the public at large.

The cause was a faulty update from CrowdStrike, deployed to computers running Microsoft Windows.

The defective updates, which grounded flights, disrupted banking and healthcare services and 911 emergency call centers, made the high-tech industries sit up and wonder:

How did we let this happen?

Read More »CrowdStrike’s Update Downfall: Who Dropped the Ball?
How does Graphcore fit into SoftBank's AI play?

How Does Graphcore Fit into SoftBank’s AI Play?

By Peter Clarke

What’s at stake:
At stake is the future of the most important part of the deep technology sector. That is, if you believe that the AI revolution currently permeating the world is going to build on — and be more important than the transistor, the computer and the Internet. Nvidia is the dominant AI-hardware player seeking to expand in multiple directions. Masayoshi Son, the founder and CEO of SoftBank Group, wants to transform his company into an AI full-stack powerhouse.

Graphcore Ltd. (Bristol, England) has been acquired by Japan’s SoftBank Group, finally confirming rumors of a deal that had circulated for several months.

We don’t know the purchase price but it is expected to have been less than the $700 million of venture capital raised by Graphcore since its formation in 2016; speculations put the price at about $500 million. As such, this feels like a distressed sale despite the positive gloss that CEO Nigel Toon has put on the deal.

Read More »How Does Graphcore Fit into SoftBank’s AI Play?
The SDV and Its Unintended Challenges

The SDV and Its Unintended Challenges

By Junko Yoshida

The software-defined vehicle (SDV) is “all the rage,” if you are to believe press-release headlines and media coverage (including this publication).

A voice of prudence is Phil Koopman, professor at Carnegie Mellon University, who recently published an article, “Architectural Coupling Killed the Software Defined Vehicle” on his Substack newsletter.

Despite its provocative headline, Koopman writes, “I don’t think the SDV is actually dead.”

However, as carmakers stampede toward the SDV cliff, Koopman warns that they might be throwing together vehicle architectures that inevitably become too complex to manage.

Read More »The SDV and Its Unintended Challenges